Section 15.2 Weather forecasting

• Comparing the performance of medium-range forecast models
• Uncertainty, weather and climate
• Coordinate systems of numerical weather prediction models
• Chaos and ensemble forecasting
• A forecasting competition
• What are general circulation models ? (a comparison with NWP models)
• Tropical cyclone track forecasting
• Data assimilation
• The forecaster's tools
• Some midlatitude forecasting rules-of-thumb
• Lennox Walker
• Improvements in short and medium range forecasting
• The Priestley Forecast Skill Score
• Weather forecasts for sports events
• Potential vorticity and isentropic charts
• A thunderstorm forecasting decision tree
• Frost prediction